Speaker: Professor Eugenia Kalnay, University of Maryland

Recent Advances in Data Assimilation

The improvement in numerical weather prediction in the last 3 decades is due to improvements in atmospheric models, in observations, and in data assimilation (the science of combining forecasts and observations to create model initial conditions). In recent years, Ensemble Kalman Filter has become the most advanced approach for data assimilation. I will introduce data assimilation, Ensemble Kalman Filters, and new advances that extend their utility.

In the second part of the talk I will show applications of these algorithms to real and simulated observation examples showing the potential of these new approaches. The results include 7 years of global ocean data assimilation (Penny, 2011), LETKF-RIP applied to typhoon spin-up (Yang et al, 2011), estimation of surface carbon, heat and moisture fluxes from atmospheric data assimilation (Kang et al., 2011), and a comparison of 4D-Var and EnKF for a simple 'coupled ocean-atmosphere model' (Singleton et al, 2012).